LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 24
Real Valladolid
REA
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Valladolid52%
Draw24%
Celta Fortuna24%
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.22
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–07.8%
- 1–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Real Valladolid get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession48%
34%Territory36%
37%From set plays6%
0.11Chance quality0.13
5.9%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Valladolid, 3 for Celta Fortuna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Valladolid
Celta Fortuna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.