LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 24
Real Oviedo
OVI
Cádiz
CDI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Oviedo48%
Draw25%
Cádiz27%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.26
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession41%
41%Territory31%
31%From set plays8%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Real Oviedo, 2 for Cádiz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Cádiz
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 130 matches, not the full season.