LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 24
Las Palmas
LAS
Sporting Gijón
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Las Palmas30%
Draw27%
Sporting Gijón43%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.51
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.1%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession51%
34%Territory39%
12%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.6%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Las Palmas, 3 for Sporting Gijón. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.