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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 24

Girona

GIR

Real Sociedad B

REL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Girona48%
Draw26%
Real Sociedad B25%

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.11

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

50%Possession52%
38%Territory39%
12%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Girona, 3 for Real Sociedad B. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.