LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 24
Eldense
ELD
Castellón
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eldense17%
Draw23%
Castellón60%
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.86
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.2%
- 0–210.7%
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession57%
36%Territory42%
18%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.14
5.2%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eldense, 3 for Castellón. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.