LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 24
Burgos CF
BUR
Leganés
LEG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burgos CF55%
Draw26%
Leganés20%
Expected goals
1.62 – 0.90
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.6%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leganés will have the ball; Burgos CF will not mind.
40%Possession52%
35%Territory36%
42%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.13
9.7%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burgos CF, 3 for Leganés. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.