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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 24

FC Andorra

FCA

Almería

ALM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Andorra31%
Draw26%
Almería44%

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.61

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

71%Possession45%
48%Territory26%
15%From set plays19%
0.07Chance quality0.14
5.8%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FC Andorra, 3 for Almería. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.