LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 23
Sabadell
SAB
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sabadell49%
Draw24%
AD Ceuta FC27%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.31
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.6%
- 2–07.0%
- 1–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession57%
38%Territory41%
35%From set plays38%
0.07Chance quality0.10
7.1%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sabadell, 3 for AD Ceuta FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AD Ceuta FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.