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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 23

Real Sociedad B

REL

Las Palmas

LAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Sociedad B48%
Draw26%
Las Palmas27%

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.22

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

52%Possession46%
39%Territory34%
20%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.0%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad B, 3 for Las Palmas. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.