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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 23

Girona

GIR

Real Oviedo

OVI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Girona52%
Draw24%
Real Oviedo24%

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.21

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 1–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Oviedo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession48%
38%Territory42%
12%From set plays31%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Girona, 4 for Real Oviedo.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 129 matches, not the full season.