LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 23
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Burgos CF
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Fortuna21%
Draw27%
Burgos CF52%
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.55
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.5%
- 1–112.0%
- 0–29.8%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–09.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Burgos CF get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession40%
36%Territory35%
6%From set plays43%
0.13Chance quality0.11
4.4%Directness9.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Fortuna, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Celta Fortuna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 129 matches, not the full season.