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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 23

Cádiz

CDI

Eldense

ELD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cádiz39%
Draw28%
Eldense33%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.29

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

41%Possession55%
31%Territory36%
8%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Cádiz, 3 for Eldense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.