LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 23
Almería
ALM
Córdoba
CRD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Almería46%
Draw23%
Córdoba31%
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.60
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.3%
- 2–18.7%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–27.0%
- 1–06.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Córdoba will have the ball; Almería will not mind.
45%Possession53%
26%Territory37%
19%From set plays24%
0.14Chance quality0.11
4.9%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Almería, 3 for Córdoba. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Córdoba
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 129 matches, not the full season.