LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 23
Albacete
ALB
Granada
GRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Albacete29%
Draw30%
Granada41%
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.27
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–113.0%
- 0–011.4%
- 1–010.3%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
40%Possession44%
37%Territory33%
38%From set plays27%
0.07Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Albacete, 3 for Granada. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Albacete
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 130 matches, not the full season.