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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 22

Eldense

ELD

Albacete

ALB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eldense45%
Draw28%
Albacete28%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.13

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–08.5%
  • 0–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Eldense will have the ball; Albacete will not mind.

55%Possession40%
36%Territory37%
18%From set plays38%
0.12Chance quality0.07
5.2%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eldense, 3 for Albacete. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 129 matches, not the full season.