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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 22

Córdoba

CRD

Sabadell

SAB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Córdoba55%
Draw24%
Sabadell22%

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.14

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

53%Possession56%
37%Territory38%
24%From set plays35%
0.11Chance quality0.07
6.5%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Córdoba, 3 for Sabadell. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Córdoba

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.