LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 22
Castellón
CAS
Leganés
LEG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Castellón68%
Draw20%
Leganés12%
Expected goals
2.06 – 0.76
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.9%
- 2–012.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.2%
- 3–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession47%
41%Territory34%
21%From set plays13%
0.14Chance quality0.14
3.2%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Castellón, 2 for Leganés. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Leganés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 129 matches, not the full season.