LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 22
Burgos CF
BUR
Sporting Gijón
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burgos CF44%
Draw30%
Sporting Gijón26%
Expected goals
1.27 – 0.92
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.5%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–012.4%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sporting Gijón will have the ball; Burgos CF will not mind.
40%Possession51%
35%Territory39%
42%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.10
9.7%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burgos CF, 3 for Sporting Gijón. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.