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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21

Tenerife

TEN

Burgos CF

BUR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tenerife31%
Draw28%
Burgos CF41%

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.37

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–111.1%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 0–09.0%
  • 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Burgos CF will have the ball; Tenerife will not mind.

45%Possession54%
34%Territory32%
41%From set plays10%
0.10Chance quality0.17
9.1%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tenerife, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.