LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21
Tenerife
TEN
Burgos CF
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tenerife27%
Draw32%
Burgos CF41%
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.15
Over 2.5
33%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–115.2%
- 0–014.5%
- 1–113.4%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession40%
31%Territory35%
35%From set plays42%
0.10Chance quality0.11
10.1%Directness9.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Tenerife, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tenerife
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.