LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21
Sporting Gijón
SPO
Córdoba
CRD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting Gijón42%
Draw25%
Córdoba33%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.47
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–07.7%
- 1–27.6%
- 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession53%
39%Territory37%
19%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.11
3.8%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Gijón, 3 for Córdoba. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Córdoba
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 130 matches, not the full season.