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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21

Sporting Gijón

SPO

Córdoba

CRD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sporting Gijón52%
Draw23%
Córdoba25%

Expected goals

1.97 – 1.33

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.8%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 2–07.1%
  • 2–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

55%Possession60%
40%Territory39%
27%From set plays37%
0.14Chance quality0.10
4.8%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting Gijón, 3 for Córdoba. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.