LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21
Sabadell
SAB
Real Valladolid
REL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sabadell42%
Draw27%
Real Valladolid31%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.30
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Real Valladolid get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession48%
41%Territory35%
14%From set plays40%
0.13Chance quality0.08
7.8%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sabadell, 3 for Real Valladolid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Valladolid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.