LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21
Real Sociedad B
REA
Eldense
ELD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Sociedad B58%
Draw23%
Eldense19%
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.06
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.2%
- 1–110.2%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.3%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession45%
30%Territory37%
15%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.08
7.5%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad B, 3 for Eldense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Eldense
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.