Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21

Real Sociedad B

REL

Eldense

ELD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Sociedad B47%
Draw26%
Eldense27%

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.22

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

52%Possession55%
39%Territory36%
20%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.12
6.0%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad B, 3 for Eldense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.