LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21
Mallorca
MLL
Real Oviedo
OVI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mallorca39%
Draw25%
Real Oviedo36%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.58
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession54%
30%Territory44%
40%From set plays35%
0.10Chance quality0.09
2.8%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Mallorca, 3 for Real Oviedo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Mallorca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Real Oviedo
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.