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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21

Mallorca

MLL

Real Oviedo

OVI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Mallorca52%
Draw25%
Real Oviedo22%

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.08

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.4%
  • 1011.1%
  • 219.8%
  • 208.8%
  • 007.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Mallorca will have the ball; Real Oviedo will not mind.

53%Possession40%
39%Territory38%
24%From set plays37%
0.16Chance quality0.09
4.4%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Mallorca, 3 for Real Oviedo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.