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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21

Leganés

LEG

Eibar

EIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Leganés36%
Draw30%
Eibar34%

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.17

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.3%
  • 1011.4%
  • 0111.1%
  • 0010.8%
  • 217.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Leganés will have the ball; Eibar will not mind.

53%Possession30%
35%Territory30%
5%From set plays2%
0.13Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness9.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 3 for Eibar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.