LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21
Leganés
LEG
Eibar
EIB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leganés41%
Draw24%
Eibar34%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.62
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession49%
36%Territory41%
21%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.12
6.5%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 3 for Eibar. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Eibar
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.