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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21

AD Ceuta FC

ADC

Girona

GIR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AD Ceuta FC28%
Draw24%
Girona48%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.88

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.1%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–17.4%
  • 2–16.8%
  • 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AD Ceuta FC will have the ball; Girona will not mind.

57%Possession47%
41%Territory37%
42%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.6%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AD Ceuta FC, 3 for Girona. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.