LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Girona
GIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AD Ceuta FC33%
Draw24%
Girona43%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.78
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.5%
- 0–16.9%
- 2–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AD Ceuta FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession41%
35%Territory25%
40%From set plays21%
0.06Chance quality0.13
3.7%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AD Ceuta FC, 3 for Girona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.