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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21

Celta Fortuna

CEL

Granada

GRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celta Fortuna35%
Draw26%
Granada39%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.52

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.6%
  • 128.5%
  • 018.2%
  • 218.0%
  • 107.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Granada get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

55%Possession54%
39%Territory36%
11%From set plays34%
0.10Chance quality0.07
3.8%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Fortuna, 3 for Granada. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.