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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21

Celta Fortuna

CEL

Granada

GRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celta Fortuna26%
Draw27%
Granada47%

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.56

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–111.1%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–27.9%
  • 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Granada get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession44%
36%Territory33%
6%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.12
4.4%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Fortuna, 3 for Granada. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Celta Fortuna

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 130 matches, not the full season.