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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21

Castellón

CAS

Cádiz

CDI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Castellón74%
Draw16%
Cádiz10%

Expected goals

2.57 – 0.90

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 2010.6%
  • 219.3%
  • 308.7%
  • 108.6%
  • 318.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Castellón will have the ball; Cádiz will not mind.

60%Possession49%
46%Territory31%
17%From set plays24%
0.15Chance quality0.16
3.3%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Castellón, 3 for Cádiz. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.