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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21

Castellón

CAS

Cádiz

CDI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Castellón72%
Draw19%
Cádiz10%

Expected goals

2.16 – 0.69

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

44%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–013.6%
  • 1–013.1%
  • 3–09.4%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Castellón will have the ball; Cádiz will not mind.

57%Possession38%
42%Territory27%
23%From set plays8%
0.14Chance quality0.12
3.1%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Castellón, 3 for Cádiz. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.