LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 21
Almería
ALM
Las Palmas
LAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Almería47%
Draw25%
Las Palmas28%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.28
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–07.0%
- 1–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Las Palmas get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession51%
32%Territory43%
13%From set plays39%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.3%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Almería, 3 for Las Palmas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.