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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20

Real Valladolid

REA

Burgos CF

BUR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Valladolid29%
Draw28%
Burgos CF43%

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.41

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–111.4%
  • 0–09.0%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Valladolid will have the ball; Burgos CF will not mind.

51%Possession40%
37%Territory35%
28%From set plays42%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness9.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Valladolid, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.