LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20
Real Valladolid
REL
Burgos CF
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Valladolid31%
Draw29%
Burgos CF40%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.33
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–09.7%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Real Valladolid get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession54%
35%Territory32%
40%From set plays10%
0.08Chance quality0.17
6.5%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Valladolid, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Valladolid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.