LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20
Real Valladolid
REA
Burgos CF
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Valladolid29%
Draw28%
Burgos CF43%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.41
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–111.4%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Real Valladolid will have the ball; Burgos CF will not mind.
51%Possession40%
37%Territory35%
28%From set plays42%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness9.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Valladolid, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.