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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20

Real Oviedo

OVI

Castellón

CAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Oviedo18%
Draw22%
Castellón60%

Expected goals

1.10 – 2.08

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.9%
  • 1–19.6%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 0–29.0%
  • 1–36.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Castellón will have the ball; Real Oviedo will not mind.

40%Possession60%
38%Territory46%
37%From set plays17%
0.09Chance quality0.15
6.8%Directness3.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Oviedo, 3 for Castellón. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.