LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20
Mallorca
MLL
Sporting Gijón
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mallorca29%
Draw26%
Sporting Gijón44%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.57
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–07.6%
- 2–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Mallorca get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession51%
33%Territory39%
40%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.10
4.2%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Mallorca, 3 for Sporting Gijón. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Mallorca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.