LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20
Las Palmas
LAS
Tenerife
TEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Las Palmas46%
Draw28%
Tenerife26%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.05
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession45%
43%Territory34%
39%From set plays41%
0.08Chance quality0.10
3.0%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Las Palmas, 3 for Tenerife. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.