LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20
Las Palmas
LAS
Tenerife
TEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Las Palmas39%
Draw29%
Tenerife33%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.22
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–08.9%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession44%
34%Territory31%
12%From set plays35%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.6%Directness10.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Las Palmas, 2 for Tenerife. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tenerife
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.