LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20
Leganés
LEG
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leganés54%
Draw23%
Celta Fortuna23%
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.26
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–07.6%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession48%
36%Territory36%
21%From set plays7%
0.13Chance quality0.14
6.5%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 3 for Celta Fortuna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Celta Fortuna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.