LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20
Granada
GRA
Almería
ALM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Granada39%
Draw28%
Almería33%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.27
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.0%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession45%
33%Territory26%
27%From set plays19%
0.12Chance quality0.14
7.9%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Granada, 3 for Almería. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.