LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20
Granada
GRA
Almería
ALM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Granada40%
Draw26%
Almería34%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.45
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.1%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Granada get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession52%
36%Territory32%
34%From set plays13%
0.07Chance quality0.10
6.7%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Granada, 3 for Almería. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.