LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20
Girona
GIR
Sabadell
SAB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Girona50%
Draw27%
Sabadell22%
Expected goals
1.51 – 0.95
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–09.3%
- 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sabadell will have the ball; Girona will not mind.
47%Possession56%
37%Territory38%
12%From set plays35%
0.11Chance quality0.07
6.0%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Girona, 3 for Sabadell. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.