LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20
Girona
GIR
Sabadell
SAB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Girona43%
Draw24%
Sabadell33%
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.63
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.6%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–06.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession43%
25%Territory41%
21%From set plays14%
0.13Chance quality0.13
7.2%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Girona, 3 for Sabadell. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.