LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20
Eldense
ELD
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eldense49%
Draw23%
AD Ceuta FC28%
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.52
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–26.7%
- 1–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AD Ceuta FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession57%
36%Territory41%
18%From set plays38%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.2%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eldense, 3 for AD Ceuta FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AD Ceuta FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.