LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20
Eldense
ELD
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eldense47%
Draw26%
AD Ceuta FC27%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.19
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.6%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AD Ceuta FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession49%
37%Territory35%
15%From set plays40%
0.08Chance quality0.06
6.4%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eldense, 3 for AD Ceuta FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Eldense
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.