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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20

Eibar

EIB

Real Sociedad B

REA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eibar49%
Draw26%
Real Sociedad B26%

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.19

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Sociedad B will have the ball; Eibar will not mind.

30%Possession43%
30%Territory30%
2%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.12
9.8%Directness7.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eibar, 3 for Real Sociedad B. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.