LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 20
Eibar
EIB
Real Sociedad B
REL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Eibar45%
Draw25%
Real Sociedad B30%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.43
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–07.8%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession52%
41%Territory39%
28%From set plays20%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eibar, 3 for Real Sociedad B. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Eibar
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Real Sociedad B
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.