LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 19
Tenerife
TEN
Real Oviedo
OVI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tenerife44%
Draw28%
Real Oviedo28%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.13
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–08.6%
- 0–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession40%
34%Territory38%
41%From set plays37%
0.10Chance quality0.09
9.1%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tenerife, 3 for Real Oviedo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.