LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 19
Tenerife
TEN
Real Oviedo
OVI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tenerife40%
Draw27%
Real Oviedo33%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.32
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
39%Possession45%
32%Territory41%
30%From set plays31%
0.13Chance quality0.08
9.4%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Tenerife, 4 for Real Oviedo.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 130 matches, not the full season.