LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 19
Sabadell
SAB
Las Palmas
LAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sabadell44%
Draw28%
Las Palmas29%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.14
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sabadell will have the ball; Las Palmas will not mind.
56%Possession46%
38%Territory34%
35%From set plays12%
0.07Chance quality0.11
7.1%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sabadell, 3 for Las Palmas. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.