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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 19

Celta Fortuna

CEL

Eldense

ELD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celta Fortuna36%
Draw26%
Eldense38%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.49

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 1–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession55%
36%Territory36%
6%From set plays18%
0.13Chance quality0.12
4.4%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Fortuna, 3 for Eldense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.