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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 19

Castellón

CAS

Granada

GRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Castellón59%
Draw25%
Granada16%

Expected goals

1.70 – 0.78

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.7%
  • 2–011.8%
  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–09.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Castellón will have the ball; Granada will not mind.

57%Possession44%
42%Territory33%
23%From set plays27%
0.14Chance quality0.12
3.1%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Castellón, 3 for Granada. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.