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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 19

Castellón

CAS

Granada

GRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Castellón64%
Draw20%
Granada16%

Expected goals

2.18 – 1.03

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 219.9%
  • 209.7%
  • 109.4%
  • 119.1%
  • 317.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Granada get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

60%Possession54%
46%Territory36%
17%From set plays34%
0.15Chance quality0.07
3.3%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Castellón, 3 for Granada. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.