LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 19
Burgos CF
BUR
Girona
GIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Burgos CF45%
Draw30%
Girona25%
Expected goals
1.30 – 0.90
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.8%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–012.4%
- 0–19.8%
- 2–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Girona will have the ball; Burgos CF will not mind.
40%Possession50%
35%Territory38%
43%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.11
9.7%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Burgos CF, 4 for Girona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.