LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 19
Almería
ALM
Real Valladolid
REL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Almería51%
Draw25%
Real Valladolid24%
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.15
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Real Valladolid get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession48%
32%Territory35%
13%From set plays40%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.3%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Almería, 3 for Real Valladolid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Valladolid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.