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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 19

Albacete

ALB

Mallorca

MLL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Albacete33%
Draw27%
Mallorca41%

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.51

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.9%
  • 019.2%
  • 128.8%
  • 108.0%
  • 217.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Mallorca get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

47%Possession53%
39%Territory39%
7%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.16
5.4%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Albacete, 3 for Mallorca. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Albacete

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.