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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 19

Albacete

ALB

Mallorca

MLL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Albacete41%
Draw28%
Mallorca31%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.22

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Mallorca will have the ball; Albacete will not mind.

40%Possession53%
37%Territory34%
38%From set plays27%
0.07Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Albacete, 3 for Mallorca. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.