LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18
Real Valladolid
REL
Tenerife
TEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Valladolid41%
Draw29%
Tenerife30%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.09
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.2%
- 0–010.4%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession45%
35%Territory34%
40%From set plays41%
0.08Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Valladolid, 3 for Tenerife. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Valladolid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.