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LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18

Real Oviedo

OVI

Real Sociedad B

REA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Oviedo34%
Draw26%
Real Sociedad B40%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.55

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.6%
  • 128.7%
  • 018.5%
  • 217.8%
  • 107.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Oviedo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

40%Possession43%
38%Territory30%
37%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness7.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Oviedo, 3 for Real Sociedad B. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.