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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18

Real Oviedo

OVI

Real Sociedad B

REL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Oviedo42%
Draw25%
Real Sociedad B32%

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.46

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Oviedo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

54%Possession52%
44%Territory39%
35%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Oviedo, 3 for Real Sociedad B. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.