LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18
Mallorca
MLL
Burgos CF
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mallorca25%
Draw28%
Burgos CF47%
Expected goals
0.99 – 1.44
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.0%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–09.8%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession40%
29%Territory35%
40%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.11
4.3%Directness9.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Mallorca, 3 for Burgos CF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Mallorca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 130 matches, not the full season.