LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18
Las Palmas
LAS
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Las Palmas50%
Draw24%
Celta Fortuna26%
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.27
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession48%
34%Territory36%
12%From set plays7%
0.11Chance quality0.14
5.6%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Las Palmas, 3 for Celta Fortuna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Celta Fortuna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.