LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18
Las Palmas
LAS
Celta Fortuna
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Las Palmas51%
Draw25%
Celta Fortuna24%
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.19
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Las Palmas get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession55%
43%Territory39%
39%From set plays11%
0.08Chance quality0.10
3.0%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Las Palmas, 3 for Celta Fortuna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.