LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18
Leganés
LEG
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leganés62%
Draw22%
AD Ceuta FC16%
Expected goals
1.96 – 0.90
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.8%
- 2–010.9%
- 1–110.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 3–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AD Ceuta FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession49%
35%Territory35%
5%From set plays40%
0.13Chance quality0.06
5.1%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 3 for AD Ceuta FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 55 matches, not the full season.