LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18
Leganés
LEG
AD Ceuta FC
ADC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leganés53%
Draw22%
AD Ceuta FC25%
Expected goals
2.20 – 1.52
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
70%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.0%
- 1–18.4%
- 2–26.8%
- 3–16.4%
- 1–25.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AD Ceuta FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession57%
36%Territory41%
21%From set plays42%
0.13Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leganés, 3 for AD Ceuta FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AD Ceuta FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.