LaLiga 2 · Matchweek 18
Granada
GRA
Girona
GIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Granada40%
Draw30%
Girona31%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.12
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–010.4%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession47%
33%Territory37%
27%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.11
7.9%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Granada, 3 for Girona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 131 matches, not the full season.